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Political Predictions for 2013

Randy Shawbyline‚ Jan. 07‚ 2013

One year ago, I predicted Barack Obama would defeat Mitt Romney in the 2012 presidential election “in a race not as close as it now appears.” I also foresaw a San Francisco Giants-Detroit Tigers World Series. That’s a hard record to match, but here goes. My 2013 crystal ball sees the President and Congress restricting assault weapons, supporting some version of comprehensive immigration reform, and reaching a debt ceiling deal that protects progressive interests. President Obama will disappoint environmentalists on Keystone and other issues, an improving economy will reduce attacks on public employees, and teachers and school activists will make headway in the education wars. San Francisco’s Board of Supervisors will be its most “moderate” since 2000 (though this will bring less of a change than many think) and Mayor Lee’s jobs and economic development focus will prioritize the still struggling Mid-Market, Tenderloin and Bayview-Hunters Point neighborhoods. Here’s how I see the political events of 2013.