San Francisco Election PredictionsRandy Shawbyline‚ Nov. 05‚ 2007San Francisco is holding an election on Tuesday, November 6. This is about a clear a case of “what if they held an election and nobody showed up” since the Herrera-Lazarus City Attorney runoff election in December 2001---a race Herrera won despite a 16% voter turnout. There is one striking similarity between that contest and our 2007 election: both impacted San Francisco’s future but failed to excite voters. It made an incredible difference that Herrera defeat a pro-landlord zealot like Lazarus, but there was little activist interest in the race and Herrera only won due to a brilliant absentee voter campaign waged by the late Robert Barnes. In tomorrow’s election, voters will decide to either give MUNI the resources it needs or accept that San Francisco lacks the political will to be a transit-first city. Will Prop A overcome voter apathy and Don Fisher’s money? Here’s my best assessment of the outcome of Prop A and the other key local measures. |