S.F. Election Predictions: November 2008Randy Shawbyline‚ Oct. 30‚ 2008(Note: I address San Francisco and Berkeley races today, and state and national contests on Monday.) While Bay Area activists remain riveted on the presidential race, there has been a dramatic upsurge in campaign activity around local races in the past month. As in the last two election cycles, big money independent expenditure campaigns from downtown and real estate interests have infiltrated key San Francisco supervisor races. These attacks failed then, and the question is whether they will succeed in 2008. San Francisco has 22 ballot measures, most of which have drawn little attention. But Proposition V has become a major vehicle for conservative interests to indirectly funnel money against progressive candidates, and PG&E’s $10 million “No on H” campaign is serving a similar function. I predicted 100% of the races correctly in June, but as investment bankers always say, past results are no guarantee of future gains. Here’s my analysis and projected winners. |